000 WTPZ32 KNHC 230831 TCPEP2 BULLETIN HURRICANE RAYMOND ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172013 200 AM PDT WED OCT 23 2013 ...RAYMOND STILL MEANDERING BUT EXPECTED TO PULL AWAY FROM MEXICO LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.0N 101.9W ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM S OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM WSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ACAPULCO TO LAZARO CARDENAS FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RAYMOND WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.9 WEST. RAYMOND REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY...AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST IS FORECAST TO BEGIN LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...AND RAYMOND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...RAYMOND IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 15 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF GUERRERO. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD OCCUR IN SQUALLS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TODAY. STORM SURGE...SOME COASTAL FLOODING IS STILL POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY RAYMOND ARE PRODUCING LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO...WHICH COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 AM PDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI