000 WTPZ32 KNHC 290851 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BARBARA ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022013 200 AM PDT WED MAY 29 2013 ...BARBARA STILL STRENGTHENING... ...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE COAST IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.8N 95.6W ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM SSW OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM PUERTO ANGEL TO BARRA DE TONALA. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM LAGUNAS DE CHACAHUA TO PUERTO ANGEL. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUERTO ANGEL TO BARRA DE TONALA MEXICO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUERTO ANGEL TO BOCA DE PIJIJIAPAN MEXICO. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARBARA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.6 WEST. BARBARA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. A SLIGHTLY FASTER NORTHEASTWARD OR NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS LIKELY TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF BARBARA SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY TODAY...AND BARBARA COULD BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH PRIOR TO LANDFALL. STEADY WEAKENING IS LIKELY AFTER THE CENTER MOVES INLAND TONIGHT...AND BARBARA SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO ON THURSDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...BARBARA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER EASTERN OAXACA AND WESTERN CHIAPAS MEXICO... WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE IN SOUTHEASTERN OAXACA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA THIS MORNING...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 AM PDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/BROWN