000
WTPZ32 KNHC 130234
TCPEP2
 
BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE TWELVE-E ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122011
800 PM PDT WED OCT 12 2011
 
...DEPRESSION WEAKENS TO A REMNANT LOW...THIS IS THE LAST
ADVISORY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 93.8W
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM ENE OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
TWELVE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.8 WEST.
THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 3
MPH...6 KM/H...AND THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SLOWLY
NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL DISSIPATION.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS LIKELY AND THE
SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE BY THURSDAY EVENING.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF THE DEPRESSION COULD PRODUCE TOTAL
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
MEXICO AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF GUATEMALA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER STEEP TERRAIN.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH