000
WTPZ32 KNHC 122039
TCPEP2
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122011
200 PM PDT WED OCT 12 2011
 
...CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION NOW INLAND OVER SOUTHEASTERN
MEXICO...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.3N 94.3W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM E OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FROM BARRA DE TONALA SOUTHEASTWARD TO THE MEXICAN/GUATEMALAN
BORDER.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWELVE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.3 WEST.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR NORTHEAST WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO DISSIPATION.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO
BECOME A REMNANT LOW TONIGHT AND DISSIPATE ON WEDNESDAY.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE THE MEXICAN
STATES OF OAXACA AND CHIAPAS AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF GUATEMALA...
WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES.
  

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/BEVEN