000
WTPZ32 KNHC 172036
TCPEP2
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GREG ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072011
200 PM PDT WED AUG 17 2011
 
...GREG CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN...FORECAST TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE
COAST OF MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.1N 106.5W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 455 MI...735 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GREG WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.5 WEST. GREG IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY WITH A GRADUAL
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.  A TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS FORECAST BY
FRIDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GREG SHOULD BE
MOVING AWAY FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO...AND GREG IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON
THURSDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COASTS OF THE
MEXICAN STATES OF COLIMA AND JALISCO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN