000
WTPZ32 KNHC 212031
TCPEP2

 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BEATRIZ ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022011
200 PM PDT TUE JUN 21 2011
 
...BEATRIZ WEAKENING QUICKLY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.0N 106.5W
ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM SSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 345 MI...560 KM SE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BEATRIZ WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.5 WEST. BEATRIZ IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION WITH
SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS...AND BEATRIZ IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ON WEDNESDAY. 
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...BEATRIZ IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS
OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ALONG THE COASTS OF THE STATES OF GUERRERO...
JALISCO...COLIMA...AND MICHOACAN IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES OVER MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES.
 
STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE TODAY AS
BEATRIZ MOVES AWAY FROM THE COAST.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN