000 WTPZ32 KNHC 211443 TCPEP2 BULLETIN HURRICANE BEATRIZ ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022011 800 AM PDT TUE JUN 21 2011 ...BEATRIZ TURNS TOWARD THE NORTHWEST...CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO IMPROVE ALONG THE COAST LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.6N 105.5W ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SSE OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING SOUTH OF LA FORTUNA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM LA FORTUNA NORTHWARD TO CABO CORRIENTES FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BEATRIZ WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.5 WEST. BEATRIZ IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE CENTER OF BEATRIZ WILL BEGIN TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE COAST OF MEXICO LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. BEATRIZ IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALSO OCCURRING ELSEWHERE WITHIN PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA. THESE WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATER TODAY AS BEATRIZ MOVES AWAY FROM THE COAST. RAINFALL...BEATRIZ IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ALONG THE COASTS OF THE STATES OF GUERRERO... JALISCO...COLIMA...AND MICHOACAN IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. WATER LEVELS SHOULD BEGIN TO SUBSIDE LATER TODAY AS BEATRIZ MOVES AWAY FROM THE COAST. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 AM PDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN