000 WTPZ32 KNHC 211131 TCPEP2 BULLETIN HURRICANE BEATRIZ INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022011 500 AM PDT TUE JUN 21 2011 ...CENTER OF BEATRIZ RIGHT ALONG THE COAST... SUMMARY OF 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.4N 105.0W ABOUT 15 MI...20 KM SSE OF LA FORTUNA MEXICO ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM WNW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM LAZARO CARDENAS NORTHWESTWARD TO CABO CORRIENTES FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BEATRIZ WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.0 WEST. BEATRIZ IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF BEATRIZ WILL CONTINUE MOVING ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN LA FORTUNA AND CABO CORRIENTES OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH... 150 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. BEATRIZ IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 977 MB...28.85 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALSO OCCURRING ELSEWHERE WITHIN PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA. RAINFALL...BEATRIZ IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ALONG THE COASTS OF THE STATES OF GUERRERO... JALISCO...COLIMA...AND MICHOACAN IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN