000 WTPZ32 KNHC 210236 TCPEP2 BULLETIN HURRICANE BEATRIZ ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022011 800 PM PDT MON JUN 20 2011 ...BEATRIZ BECOMES A HURRICANE...CENTER VERY NEAR THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.0N 103.5W ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM SE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM ZIHUATANEJO NORTHWESTWARD TO CABO CORRIENTES A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM TECPAN DE GALEANA WESTWARD TO EAST OF ZIHUATANEJO FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BEATRIZ WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.5 WEST. BEATRIZ IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE MOVING VERY NEAR OR OVER THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA OVERNIGHT...AND MOVING AWAY FROM THE COAST BY LATE TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. BEATRIZ IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE IF THE CENTER REMAINS OVER WATER DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALSO OCCURRING ELSEWHERE WITHIN PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA. RAINFALL...BEATRIZ IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ALONG THE COASTS OF THE STATES OF GUERRERO... JALISCO...COLIMA...AND MICHOACAN IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 PM PDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER PASCH/LANDSEA