000 WTPZ32 KNHC 221735 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION GEORGETTE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122010 1100 AM PDT WED SEP 22 2010 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION GEORGETTE NEARING THE COAST OF SONORA...EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.6N 111.3W ABOUT 35 MI...50 KM SW OF GUAYMAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM HUATABAMPITO NORTHWARD TO BAHIA KINO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 6 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GEORGETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.3 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WILL MOVE INLAND OVER MEXICO WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL...BUT WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN THEREAFTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN GUSTS WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA TODAY. RAINFALL...GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE OF SONORA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. MOISTURE FROM GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA