000 WTPZ32 KNHC 220841 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION GEORGETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122010 200 AM PDT WED SEP 22 2010 ...GEORGETTE MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.8N 110.7W ABOUT 155 MI...245 KM S OF GUAYMAS MEXICO ABOUT 115 MI...180 KM NNW OF LA PAZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM HUATABAMPITO NORTHWARD TO BAHIA KINO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GEORGETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.7 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND MAKE LANDFALL IN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER LANDFALL...AND GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY FRIDAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA TODAY. RAINFALL...GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA AND THE MEXICAN STATE OF WESTERN SONORA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. MOISTURE FROM GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 AM PDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN