000 WTPZ32 KNHC 212346 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION GEORGETTE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122010 500 PM PDT TUE SEP 21 2010 ...GEORGETTE WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION OVER SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA... SUMMARY OF 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.0N 110.0W ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM SE OF LA PAZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GEORGETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.0 WEST. GEORGETTE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. A GENERALLY NORTHWARD MOTION WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GEORGETTE WILL MOVE OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA EARLY WEDNESDAY AND MAKE LANDFALL IN MAINLAND MEXICO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON OR WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AFTER LANDFALL IN MAINLAND MEXICO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA AND THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND WESTERN SONORA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. MOISTURE FROM GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER PASCH