000 WTPZ32 KNHC 212035 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122010 200 PM PDT TUE SEP 21 2010 ...GEORGETTE MAKES LANDFALL OVER SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.3N 109.9W ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM N OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM AGUA BLANCA SOUTHWARD TO CABO SAN LUCAS * THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM BUENAVISTA SOUTHWARD TO CABO SAN LUCAS FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.9 WEST. GEORGETTE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. A NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWARD MOTION WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GEORGETTE WILL MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TONIGHT....AND THEN OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA WEDNESDAY AND MAKE LANDFALL IN MAINLAND MEXICO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON OR WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS GEORGETTE MOVES OVER LAND... FOLLOWED BY LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH AS IT MOVES OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AFTER LANDFALL IN MAINLAND MEXICO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING. RAINFALL...GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA AND THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND WESTERN SONORA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. MOISTURE FROM GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN