000 WTPZ32 KNHC 211448 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122010 800 AM PDT TUE SEP 21 2010 ...GEORGETTE MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARDS CABO SAN LUCAS... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.5N 109.9W ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM S OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM AGUA BLANCA SOUTHWARD TO CABO SAN LUCAS * THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM BUENAVISTA SOUTHWARD TO CABO SAN LUCAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF MEXICO. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.9 WEST. GEORGETTE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND THEN MOVE OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST ONCE THE CENTER OF GEORGETTE MOVES INLAND OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA BY TONIGHT. GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON WEDNESDAY AND DISSIPATE BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY. RAINFALL...GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA AND THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND WESTERN SONORA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 AM PDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BERG/STEWART