000
WTPZ32 KNHC 211159
TCPEP2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL     EP122010
500 AM PDT TUE SEP 21 2010
 
...TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE FORMS JUST SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.1N 109.5W
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM AGUA BLANCA SOUTHWARD TO CABO SAN
LUCAS ON THE WEST COAST...AND FROM BUENAVISTA SOUTHWARD TO CABO SAN
LUCAS ON THE EAST COAST.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM AGUA BLANCA SOUTHWARD TO
CABO SAN LUCAS
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM BUENAVISTA SOUTHWARD TO
CABO SAN LUCAS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF MEXICO.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.5 WEST.
GEORGETTE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15
KM/HR.  AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR SO.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA LATER TODAY AND
THEN MOVE OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA TONIGHT OR ON WEDNESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  WEAKENING IS FORECAST ONCE THE CENTER OF GEORGETTE MOVES
INLAND OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA LATER TODAY.  GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON WEDNESDAY AND DISSIPATE BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA LATER TODAY.
 
RAINFALL...GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA AND
THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND WESTERN SONORA...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE.  THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG