000 WTPZ32 KNHC 091437 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072010 800 AM PDT MON AUG 09 2010 ...ESTELLE WEAKENS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.7N 112.3W ABOUT 390 MI...630 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.3 WEST. ESTELLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/HR...AND A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST AND THEN SOUTH IS FORECAST BY LATE TOMORROW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND ESTELLE COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE