000 WTPZ32 KNHC 230607 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IVO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 19A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122007 1100 PM PDT SAT SEP 22 2007 ...IVO WEAKENING AS IT APPROACHES THE BAJA PENINSULA... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SANTA FE SOUTHWARD TO CABO SAN LUCAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1100 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IVO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.4 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES...170 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. IVO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK IVO WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THERE IS A CHANCE THAT IVO COULD REACH BAJA CALIFORNIA AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. REPEATING THE 1100 PM PDT POSITION...22.1 N...111.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB