000 WTPZ31 KNHC 180238 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Hurricane Estelle Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062022 900 PM MDT Sun Jul 17 2022 ...ESTELLE A BIT WEAKER, BUT STILL EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY... SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.8N 108.6W ABOUT 315 MI...505 KM SW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM SE OF SOCORRO ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Estelle was located near latitude 16.8 North, longitude 108.6 West. Estelle is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this general motion with some increase in forward speed is expected through the week. Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is still forecast over the next day or so. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Estelle are affecting portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico and will spread northward to the coast of west-central Mexico and the southern Baja California peninsula tonight through Monday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Papin