000
WTPZ31 KNHC 160835
TCPEP1
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Estelle Advisory Number   4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP062022
400 AM CDT Sat Jul 16 2022
 
...ESTELLE STRENGTHENING QUICKLY...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY TONIGHT...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.6N 103.1W
ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM SW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 380 MI...615 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Estelle was
located near latitude 13.6 North, longitude 103.1 West. Estelle is
moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h) and this
general motion is expected to continue during the next several days.
 
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h)
with higher gusts. Continued strengthening is expected during the
next day or two, and Estelle is forecast to become a hurricane by
tonight.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).

 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by Estelle are expected to begin affecting
portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico later today and
will spread northward to the coast of west-central Mexico and the
southern Baja California peninsula Sunday and Monday.  These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi