000 WTPZ31 KNHC 310835 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Agatha Advisory Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012022 400 AM CDT Tue May 31 2022 ...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO DUE TO AGATHA'S HEAVY RAINS... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.8N 95.5W ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM NNW OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning west of Bahias de Huatulco. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bahias de Huatulco eastward to Boca de Pijijiapan Mexico A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Agatha was located inland over southern Mexico near latitude 16.8 North, longitude 95.5 West. Agatha is moving toward the northeast near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today. On the forecast track, the center of Agatha will continue to move farther inland over southern Mexico this morning. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Further weakening is expected, and Agatha is forecast to dissipate over southern Mexico by this afternoon. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions, especially in squalls, are expected to continue in the warning area through this morning. RAINFALL: Agatha will produce heavy rains over portions of southern Mexico through tonight. The following storm total rainfall amounts are currently expected: Mexican state of Oaxaca: 10 to 16 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. Mexican state of Chiapas: 5 to 10 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. Mexican states of Veracruz and Tabasco: 2 to 4 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches possible. SURF: Large swells generated by Agatha will affect the coast of southern Mexico through today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT. Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Berg