000
WTPZ31 KNHC 100235
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Sergio Advisory Number  43
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP212018
800 PM PDT Tue Oct 09 2018

...SERGIO ACCELERATING TOWARD THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.5N 125.6W
ABOUT 1085 MI...1740 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in Baja California Sur should monitor the progress of
Sergio.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Sergio was
located near latitude 17.5 North, longitude 125.6 West. Sergio is
moving toward the east-northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h).  An east-
northeastward to northeastward motion with a further increase in
forward speed is expected during the next few days.  On the forecast
track, the center of Sergio will approach the Pacific coast of Baja
California Sur on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Gradual weakening is forecast during the next several days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.27 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Through Sunday, heavy rainfall with Sergio is expected to
lead to storm total accumulations of 3 to 5 inches with local
amounts to 10 inches in northern Baja California Sur and Sonora in
Mexico and well as the Southern Plains and the Ozarks of the United
States.  This could lead to life-threatening flash flooding and
mudslides within mountainous terrain.

SURF:  Swells generated by Sergio will begin to affect much of the
Baja California Peninsula later today.  These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please
consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Roberts