000
WTPZ31 KNHC 062034
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Hurricane Sergio Advisory Number  30
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP212018
200 PM PDT Sat Oct 06 2018

...SERGIO EXPECTED TO MAKE A U-TURN EARLY NEXT WEEK...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.6N 124.7W
ABOUT 1125 MI...1810 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.06 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Sergio was located
near latitude 14.6 North, longitude 124.7 West. Sergio is moving
toward the west-southwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). The hurricane is
forecast to slow down and make a sharp northeastward turn by early
next week.

Maximum sustained winds are near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Sergio is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Little change in strength is expected
tonight, with slow weakening possible by Sunday night and Monday.
However, Sergio is forecast to remain a hurricane through the first
half of next week.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles
(315 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 950 mb (28.06 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown