682 
WTPZ31 KNHC 012033
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Sergio Advisory Number  10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP212018
300 PM MDT Mon Oct 01 2018

...SERGIO REMAINS JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.3N 111.0W
ABOUT 695 MI...1115 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 805 MI...1295 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Sergio was
located near latitude 11.3 North, longitude 111.0 West. Sergio is
moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general
motion is forecast to continue through tonight.  A turn toward the
west-northwest is expected on Tuesday and a northwestward motion is
forecast on Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Strengthening is expected during the next 48 hours, and
Sergio is forecast to become a hurricane tonight or Tuesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi