791 WTPZ31 KNHC 060250 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Ileana Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112018 1000 PM CDT Sun Aug 05 2018 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.3N 99.3W ABOUT 185 MI...295 KM SSE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has upgraded the Tropical Storm Watch from Lazaro Cardenas to Cabo Corrientes to a Tropical Storm Warning. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Lazaro Cardenas to Cabo Corrientes Mexico A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ileana was located near latitude 14.3 North, longitude 99.3 West. Ileana is moving faster toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). An additional increase in forward speed with a turn toward the northwest is expected over the next day or so. On the forecast track, Ileana's center is forecast to move parallel to and offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico through Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast through Monday, but Ileana is forecast to dissipate by Tuesday night or Wednesday due its proximity to much-larger Tropical Storm John to its west and southwest. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area late Monday through early Tuesday. RAINFALL: Ileana is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 2 to 4 inches over coastal sections of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches through Tuesday night. These rains may cause flash flooding. SURF: Swells generated by Ileana will be affecting portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT. Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Berg