023 WTPZ31 KNHC 052352 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Ileana Intermediate Advisory Number 5A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112018 700 PM CDT Sun Aug 05 2018 ...ILEANA A LITTLE STRONGER... ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.9N 98.9W ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM SSE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Lazaro Cardenas to Cabo Corrientes Mexico A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 to 48 hours. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ileana was located near latitude 13.9 North, longitude 98.9 West. Ileana is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn to the northwest is forecast tonight with an additional increase in forward speed expected over the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Ileana should move parallel to, and offshore of, the coast of southwestern Mexico through Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is expected through Monday, but the storm is forecast to dissipate by Wednesday as it comes under the influence of a larger cyclone to its west and southwest. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area late Monday and Tuesday. RAINFALL: Ileana is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 2 to 4 inches over coastal sections of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches through Tuesday night. These rains may cause flash flooding. SURF: Swells generated by Ileana will be affecting portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Berg