000 WTPZ31 KNHC 090843 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JAVIER ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112016 300 AM MDT TUE AUG 09 2016 ...JAVIER WEAKENS AS IT MOVES NEAR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.3N 110.4W ABOUT 40 MI...70 KM NW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * San Evaristo to Cabo San Lazaro A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * San Evaristo to Loreto * Cabo San Lazaro to Puerto San Andresito For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Javier was located near latitude 23.3 North, longitude 110.4 West. Javier is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Javier is expected to move near or over Baja California Sur through Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected during the next couple of days, and Javier is forecast to become a remnant low by late Wednesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Javier is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 2 to 4 inches over Baja California Sur and coastal parts of the Mexican states of Sinaloa and southern Sonora through Thursday morning, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the tropical storm warning area over the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula this morning. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the tropical storm watch area later today and tonight. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 600 AM MDT. Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Brown