000
WTPZ31 KNHC 191440
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062016
800 AM PDT TUE JUL 19 2016

...ESTELLE COULD STILL BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING COOLER
WATERS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.8N 118.8W
ABOUT 640 MI...1030 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Estelle was
located near latitude 18.8 North, longitude 118.8 West. Estelle is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h).  A motion
toward the west or west-northwest with some increase in forward
speed is expected over the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Some strengthening is possible today or tonight, and
Estelle could still become a hurricane. Gradual weakening is
expected to begin on Wednesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb (29.33 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown