000
WTPZ31 KNHC 051436
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
700 AM PST WED NOV 05 2014

...VANCE MAKES LANDFALL AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER WESTERN
MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM PST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.7N 105.7W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SE OF MAZATLAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 AM PST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION VANCE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.7 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF VANCE SHOULD MOVE FARTHER INLAND OVER WESTERN
MEXICO TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. VANCE IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE LATER
TODAY OR TONIGHT. A MEXICAN AUTOMATED STATION IN NORTHERN PART OF
THE STATE OF NAYARIT RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 52
MPH...84 KM/H.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH VANCE AND THE AREA TO ITS
SOUTHEAST WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN AND THE SOUTH-CENTRAL UNITED
STATES.

SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY VANCE ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AND BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR.  THESE SWELLS
ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS...BUT SHOULD DIMINISH LATER TODAY.  PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...100 PM PST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI