000 WTPZ31 KNHC 132033 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KRISTY ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112012 200 PM PDT THU SEP 13 2012 ...CENTER OF KRISTY JUST TO THE NORTHEAST OF SOCORRO ISLAND... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.3N 110.2W ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM NE OF SOCORRO ISLAND ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.2 WEST. KRISTY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY KRISTY WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BERG