000 WTPZ31 KNHC 140838 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IRWIN ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112011 200 AM PDT FRI OCT 14 2011 ...IRWIN DRIFTING AWAY FROM MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.9N 106.8W ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM W OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SSE OR 165 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IRWIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.8 WEST. IRWIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE SOUTH WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED BY LATE TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST ON SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY...AND A SLOW WEAKENING COULD BEGIN ON SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE