000
WTPZ31 KNHC 120558
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  14A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162008
1100 PM PDT SAT OCT 11 2008
 
...ODILE REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...STILL A TROPICAL STORM...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LAZARO CARDENAS
WESTWARD TO LA FORTUNA.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ODILE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.6 WEST OR ABOUT 60
MILES...100 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.
 
ODILE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR.  A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED TODAY.  THE FORECAST TRACK TAKES THE CENTER OF ODILE A BIT
FARTHER AWAY FROM THE COAST OF MEXICO...HOWEVER ONLY A SMALL
DEVIATION OF THE FORECAST TRACK WOULD BRING THE CENTER VERY CLOSE
OR ONSHORE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT ODILE REMAINS POORLY
ORGANIZED...AND LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
ODILE COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES
POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 1100 PM PDT POSITION...18.2 N...104.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH