000
WTPZ31 KNHC 112348
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  13A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162008
500 PM PDT SAT OCT 11 2008

...CENTER OF DISORGANIZED ODILE NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LAZARO CARDENAS
WESTWARD TO LA FORTUNA.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ODILE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.4 WEST OR ABOUT 80
MILES...130 KM...WEST OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO AND ABOUT 90 MILES
...145 KM...SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.
 
ODILE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR.. A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND WEST IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT TWO DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ODILE WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE VERY CLOSE TO THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND SUNDAY
MORNING. HOWEVER... ONLY A SMALL DEVIATION TO THE TRACK OF THE
FORECAST TRACK WOULD BRING THE CENTER ONSHORE WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...
65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS AND THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL
AREA NEAR THE CENTER.  SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT ODILE IS
BECOMING DISORGANIZED...AND ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
ODILE COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES
POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 500 PM PDT POSITION...18.1 N...103.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN