000
WTPZ31 KNHC 111746
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  12A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162008
1100 AM PDT SAT OCT 11 2008
 
...ODILE APPROACHING THE COAST OF MEXICO WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN
INTENSITY...AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE ALMOST THERE...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM ZIHUATANEJO TO MANZANILLO.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS EFFECT FROM TECPAN DE GALEANA TO
MANZANILLO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ODILE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.4 WEST OR ABOUT 60
MILES...100 KM...WEST OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO AND ABOUT 180 MILES...
295 KM...SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.
 
ODILE IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20
KM/HR. A CONTINUED MOTION TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH A TURN TO THE WEST AT A SLOWER SPEED
EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.  THE FORECAST TRACK TAKES THE CENTER OF ODILE
VERY CLOSE TO THE COAST OF MEXICO...AND ONLY A SLIGHT DEVIATION TO
THE RIGHT OF THE EXPECTED TRACK WOULD BRING THE CENTER ONSHORE
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ALTHOUGH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST...
ONLY A SMALL INCREASE IN THE WINDS COULD BRING ODILE TO HURRICANE
STATUS. AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY
APPROACHING ODILE. 
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.
 
ODILE COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES
POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 1100 AM PDT POSITION...17.5 N...102.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA