000
WTPZ31 KNHC 111147
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ODILE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  11A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162008
500 AM PDT SAT OCT 11 2008
 
...ODILE HUGGING THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO...

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TECPAN DE GALEANA TO PUNTA
SAN TELMO. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA MALDONADO
WESTWARD TO PUNTA SAN TELMO.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAN
TELMO TO MANZANILLO.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ODILE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.1 WEST OR ABOUT 90
MILES... 145 KM...WEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO AND ABOUT 85 MILES...140
KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO.
 
ODILE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR.  A
CONTINUED MOTION TO THE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH A TURN TO THE WEST AT A SLOWER SPEED
EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.  THE FORECAST TRACK TAKES THE CENTER OF ODILE
VERY CLOSE TO THE COAST OF MEXICO...AND ONLY A SLIGHT DEVIATION TO
THE RIGHT OF THE EXPECTED TRACK WOULD BRING THE CENTER ONSHORE
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...AND ODILE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY OR
TOMORROW.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.
 
ODILE COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES
POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 500 AM PDT POSITION...16.8 N...101.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
800 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA