000
WTPZ31 KNHC 110858
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162008
200 AM PDT SAT OCT 11 2008
 
...ODILE A LITTLE STRONGER...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED...

AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FROM TECPAN DE GALEANA TO PUNTA SAN TELMO. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
AT 2 AM PDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING EAST OF PUNTA MALDONADO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA MALDONADO WESTWARD TO PUNTA SAN TELMO.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAN
TELMO TO MANZANILLO.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 200 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ODILE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.6 WEST OR ABOUT 50
MILES... 80 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO AND ABOUT 100
MILES...160 KM...SOUTHEAST OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO.
 
ODILE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR.  A
CONTINUED MOTION TO THE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH A TURN TO THE WEST AT A SLOWER SPEED
EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.  THE FORECAST TRACK TAKES THE CENTER OF ODILE
VERY CLOSE TO THE COAST OF MEXICO...AND ONLY A SLIGHT DEVIATION TO
THE RIGHT OF THE EXPECTED TRACK WOULD BRING THE CENTER ONSHORE
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...AND ODILE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY OR
TOMORROW.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.
 
ODILE COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES
POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES. 

REPEATING THE 200 AM PDT POSITION...16.6 N...100.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 500 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800
AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN