000
WTPZ31 KNHC 102032
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162008
200 PM PDT FRI OCT 10 2008
 
...ODILE SLOWLY APPROACHING THE COAST OF MEXICO...

AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM WEST OF ZIHUATANEJO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LAGUNAS DE CHACAHUA
WESTWARD TO ZIHUATANEJO.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 200 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ODILE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.3 WEST OR ABOUT 155
MILES...245 KM...SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO.
 
ODILE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR.  A
MOTION TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
DAY OR SO.  THE FORECAST TRACK KEEPS THE CENTER OF ODILE A SHORT
DISTANCE OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. 
HOWEVER...ONLY A SMALL DEVIATION TO THE RIGHT OF THE EXPECTED
MOTION WOULD BRING THE CENTER TO THE COASTLINE.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND ODILE COULD BECOME A
HURRICANE SOMETIME DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.
 
ODILE COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES
POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 200 PM PDT POSITION...15.3 N...98.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 500 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800
PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN