000
WTPZ31 KNHC 252348
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JULIO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  10A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112008
500 PM PDT MON AUG 25 2008
 
...JULIO REMAINS NEAR THE EAST COAST OF CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LORETO TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE COAST OF
MAINLAND MEXICO FROM GUAYMAS TO PUERTO LIBERTAD.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIO WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.4 WEST OR ABOUT
20 MILES... 30 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF SANTA ROSALIA MEXICO.
 
JULIO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...14 KM/HR.
THIS GENERAL MOTION...ALONG WITH SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN FORWARD
SPEED...IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF JULIO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ALONG THE
EAST-CENTRAL COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA TONIGHT...AND BE NEAR OR
OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON TUESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AND
JULIO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATE TONIGHT OR
ON TUESDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
MAINLY EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER OVER WATER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
JULIO COULD PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES
OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND INTO
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES
POSSIBLE. MOISTURE FROM JULIO IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE SOUTHWEST
UNITED STATES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...POSSIBLY PRODUCING
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 500 PM PDT POSITION...27.6 N...112.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART/RHOME