000
WTPZ31 KNHC 252040
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JULIO ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112008
200 PM PDT MON AUG 25 2008

...JULIO NEARING THE EAST COAST OF CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA...
 
AT 2 PM...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL
WARNINGS AND WATCHES ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LORETO TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE COAST OF
MAINLAND MEXICO FROM GUAYMAS TO PUERTO LIBERTAD.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
  
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 200 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIO WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.4 WEST OR ABOUT
15 MILES... 25 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF SANTA ROSALIA MEXICO.
 
JULIO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR.
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF JULIO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ALONG THE
EAST-CENTRAL COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA THROUGH TONIGHT...AND
BE NEAR OR OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON TUESDAY. 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AND
JULIO IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATE TONIGHT OR 
ON TUESDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
MAINLY OVER WATER TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
JULIO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6
INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
INTO NORTHWESTERN MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10
INCHES POSSIBLE.  MOISTURE FROM JULIO IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE
SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...POSSIBLY
PRODUCING RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 200 PM PDT POSITION...27.5 N...112.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 500 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800
PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN