000 WTPZ31 KNHC 251746 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JULIO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112008 1100 AM PDT MON AUG 25 2008 ...JULIO MOVING NEAR THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA... TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT ALONG THE COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM LORETO TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES ON THE EAST COAST...AND FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM GUAYMAS TO PUERTO LIBERTAD. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO EL POCITO. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1100 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.2 WEST OR ABOUT 15 MILES... 25 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SANTA ROSALIA MEXICO. JULIO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF JULIO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ALONG THE EAST-CENTRAL COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA THROUGH TONIGHT...AND BE NEAR OR OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AND JULIO COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY EARLY TUESDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM UNOFFICIAL SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IN BAJA CALIFORNIA IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES. JULIO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND INTO NORTHWESTERN MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. MOISTURE FROM JULIO IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...POSSIBLY PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES. REPEATING THE 1100 AM PDT POSITION...27.1 N...112.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER PASCH/BROWN