000
WTPZ31 KNHC 241747
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JULIO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   5A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112008
1100 AM PDT SUN AUG 24 2008
 
...JULIO NEARING THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS ON
THE WEST COAST AROUND THE PENINSULA AND NORTHWARD TO MULEGE ON THE
EAST COAST.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE WEST COAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO EL POCITO...AND ALONG
THE EAST COAST NORTH OF MULEGE TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.1 WEST OR ABOUT
20 MILES...35 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO.
 
JULIO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR.
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF JULIO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA 
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...THEN APPROACH THE CENTRAL BAJA
PENINSULA ON MONDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE JULIO REACHES
THE BAJA PENINSULA LATER TODAY AND WEAKENING IS FORECAST TO BEGIN
TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.
 
JULIO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6
INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE.  TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL BAJA PENINSULA...
WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 1100 AM PDT POSITION...22.6 N...110.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH