000
WTPZ31 KNHC 030851
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112007
200 AM PDT MON SEP 03 2007

...HENRIETTE PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS OVER THE WEST COAST OF MEXICO...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA FROM
LA PAZ SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...AND FROM SANTA FE SOUTHWARD ON
THE WEST COAST...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA LATER TODAY.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 200 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.7 WEST OR ABOUT 145
MILES...235 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO AND ABOUT
280 MILES...450 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA.
 
HENRIETTE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. 
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND HENRIETTE COULD BECOME A
HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.
 
HENRIETTE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3
TO 5 INCHES ALONG THE WEST COAST OF MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 200 AM PDT POSITION...19.4 N...107.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 500 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800
AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/KNABB