000
WTPZ31 KNHC 302026
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112007
200 PM PDT THU AUG 30 2007

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS SOUTH OF MEXICO...WARNINGS ISSUED...
 
AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF MEXICO FROM LAGUNAS
DE CHACAHUA WESTWARD TO ACAPULCO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 2 PM PDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF MEXICO FROM WEST OF ACAPULCO TO
ZIHUATANEJO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
ALL INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 200 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 97.3 WEST OR ABOUT 165 MILES...260 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF PUNTO MALDONADO MEXICO AND ABOUT 250 MILES...400 KM...SOUTHEAST
OF ACAPULCO MEXICO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON
THIS TRACK...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE PARALLEL TO THE
MEXICAN COASTLINE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE
MEXICAN STATES OF OAXACA...GUERRERO...MICHOCAN...AND COLIMA WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS AROUND 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.  THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 200 PM PDT POSITION...14.3 N...97.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 500 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800
PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA