398 
WTNT35 KNHC 131437
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Subtropical Storm Joyce Advisory Number   4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL102018
1100 AM AST Thu Sep 13 2018

...JOYCE MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.7N 43.7W
ABOUT 980 MI...1575 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 245 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Joyce was
located near latitude 33.7 North, longitude 43.7 West. The storm is
moving toward the west-southwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). A turn toward
the south-southwest and then toward the south is expected later
today through early Friday. A gradual turn toward the east-northeast
and northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected
Saturday and Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
While little change in strength is forecast during the next 48
hours, Joyce could transition to a tropical storm in the next day or
two.

Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km), mainly to
the north of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brennan