000
WTNT34 KNHC 142036
TCPAT4
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
500 PM AST WED SEP 14 2011
 
...AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE APPROACHING MARIA...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.3N 69.3W
ABOUT 495 MI...795 KM SW OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 450 MI...720 KM ENE OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.3 WEST.  MARIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H.  A TURN TO THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON
THURSDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL PASS
WEST OF BERMUDA ON THURSDAY MORNING.  A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST
AND AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS ANTICIPATED ON
FRIDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE THROUGH TOMORROW...WITH
WEAKENING LIKELY BEGINNING ON FRIDAY.  AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY APPROACHING MARIA.  
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280
KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS
BERMUDA THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.
 
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA BY LATE
TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BEVEN