000 WTNT34 KNHC 132335 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MARIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 29A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011 800 PM AST TUE SEP 13 2011 ...MARIA CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWARD... SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.1N 68.0W ABOUT 315 MI...505 KM E OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS ABOUT 665 MI...1070 KM SSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.0 WEST. MARIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY WITH A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL PASS WEST OF BERMUDA ON THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES... 280 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...ALTHOUGH RAINS OVER PUERTO RICO HAVE DIMINISHED...MARIA HAS LIKELY PRODUCED RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 TO 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD STILL CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES OVER AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS BERMUDA THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER PASCH