000 WTNT34 KNHC 120231 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011 1100 PM AST SUN SEP 11 2011 ...CENTER OF MARIA MOVING FARTHER AWAY FROM THE ISLANDS OF THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.2N 65.9W ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM N OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.9 WEST. MARIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED BY MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST BY TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL CONTINUE MOVING AWAY FROM THE ISLANDS OF THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN TONIGHT AND PASS WELL EAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE OCCURRING OVER WATER WELL NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS ANTICIPATED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...MARIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OVER THE THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WIND...WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN...IN THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE EXTREME NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT AND MONDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN