000
WTNT34 KNHC 112037
TCPAT4
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
500 PM AST SUN SEP 11 2011
 
...CENTER OF MARIA TO PASS WELL NORTH OF PUERTO RICO TONIGHT... 
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.8N 65.2W
ABOUT 115 MI...180 KM NNE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF MARIA.

 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.2 WEST. MARIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H.  A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST MONDAY NIGHT.  ON THIS TRACK...THE
CENTER OF MARIA WILL GRADUALLY MOVE AWAY FROM THE EXTREME
NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN ISLANDS TONIGHT...AND PASS WELL EAST 
OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THESE WINDS ARE OCCURRING OVER WATER TO THE NORTH AND EAST
OF THE CENTER.  NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS ANTICIPATED
DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325
KM...TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...MARIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OVER THE
THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

WIND...WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY
OVER HIGHER TERRAIN...IN THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE
EXTREME NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT AND MONDAY. 
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN