000
WTNT34 KNHC 110837
TCPAT4
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
500 AM AST SUN SEP 11 2011
 
...MARIA EXPECTED TO MOVE GRADUALLY AWAY FROM THE EXTREME
NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN TODAY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.0N 63.7W
ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM ENE OF ST. THOMAS
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM ENE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.7 WEST. MARIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...THE
CENTER OF MARIA WILL MOVE GRADUALLY AWAY FROM THE EXTREME
NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN ISLANDS AND MOVE OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  THESE WINDS ARE OCCURRING OVER WATER TO
THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH
IS ANTICIPATED DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. 
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM
TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE THE CENTER.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE PLANE A FEW HOURS AGO WAS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

  
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...MARIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OVER THE
LESSER ANTILLES...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA