000
WTNT34 KNHC 110253
TCPAT4
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
1100 PM AST SAT SEP 10 2011
 
...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS MARIA IS BETTER ORGANIZED...
...STRONG WINDS TO REMAIN NORTH OF THE LEEWARD AND VIRGIN ISLANDS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.5N 62.9W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM NNE OF ST. MARTIN
ABOUT 210 MI...340 KM E OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.9 WEST. MARIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE AWAY FROM
THE LEEWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT AND PASS NORTH OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.
 
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER INDICATE THAT
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT
AND SUNDAY.  SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...MARIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OVER THE
LESSER ANTILLES...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN