000
WTNT34 KNHC 251151
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM RICHARD INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  18A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL192010
700 AM CDT MON OCT 25 2010
 
...RICHARD CONTINUES WEAKENING INLAND OVER NORTHERN GUATEMALA...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 89.9W
ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM SSE OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RICHARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.9 WEST. RICHARD IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF RICHARD WILL MOVE OVER SOUTHEASTERN
MEXICO TODAY AND INTO THE EXTREME SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT
OR EARLY TUESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  WEAKENING IS EXPECTED...AND RICHARD
WILL LIKELY BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...RICHARD IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS NORTHERN GUATEMALA...AND THE MEXICAN
STATES OF QUINTANA ROO AND CAMPECHE...WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL
AMOUNTS OF AROUND 10 INCHES.  AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED OVER BELIZE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
 
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF QUINTANA ROO AND
CAMPECHE...AND PORTIONS OF NORTHERN GUATEMALA OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS.  THESE WINDS WILL DIMINISH LATER THIS MORNING.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS